Ixabiso lokuthutha iikhonteyina ze-US $25000 liqhelekile ukuba unxibelelwano lokubonelela lungaphumeleli kwisivumelwano.

Abo bafuna iindaba ezimnandi malunga nemeko yeekhonkco zokubonelela ngeenkonzo kwihlabathi liphela kusenokufuneka balinde. Ibhanki yotyalo-mali egxile kweli candelo ayiboni ingxaki yangoku yeekhonkco zokubonelela ngeenkonzo, okanye iindleko eziphezulu ezihamba nazo, eziye zalula ixesha elide.

Kwingxelo ekhutshwe ngoMvulo, i-UBS ithe ukwanda kwemida yokubonelela echaphazela inkqubo yokuthumela ngenqanawa yehlabathi kubangela imiqobo "esenokungasuswa kungekudala.". Okubaluleke ngakumbi, emva kweenyanga ezili-12 ubuncinane, iindleko ezikhulayo zeekhonteyina zisenokungalungiswa kakhulu.

Abahlalutyi abajongene neshishini elinzima lebhanki yotyalo-mali e-US bathi inkampani kutshanje ibambe umnxeba wenkomfa neengcali ezimbini kwishishini lokuthumela ngenqanawa, ezichonge izizathu ezintathu eziphambili zengxaki: ukuphazamiseka kwezibuko, ukunqongophala kwabasebenzi kunye nokungabikho kwendawo yokugcina impahla ekhoyo.

I-UBS ithe nokuba ezi ngxaki zintathu zisonjululwe, uxinzelelo lwemarike lusenokuhlala lukwinqanaba eliphezulu kunesiqhelo ngenxa yokuba imfuno isemva kwexesha elide idlula ukunikezelwa.

Imeko iye yaba mandundu kangangokuba iNational Retail Federation (NRF) icele ukudibana noMongameli uJoe Biden kunye nezinye iinkokheli zikarhulumente ukuze kuxoxwe ngemingeni eqhubekayo yokuxinana kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthutha impahla. I-American clothing and Footwear Association (AAFA) kunye nezibuko laseLos Angeles zicele ukuba urhulumente angenelele.

I-UBS ithe ilindele ukuba amaxesha onyaka okuthuthwa ngo-Agasti nangoSeptemba abe sengxakini kwakhona njengoko abathengisi bezama ukuphinda bazalise impahla ngaphambi kweholide ka-2021, kodwa abazange baphendule kwizicelo zokuphawula. Nokuba kungekho mida mikhulu yothungelwano lokubonelela, ukubonelela ngempahla kuhlala kuphantsi ngexesha lonyaka oxakekileyo kwaye umthamo weekhonteyina uba mbalwa, nto leyo ebangela ukunyuka kweendleko zokuthutha. Ngoku, ngenxa yobunzima bezi ngxaki, ubuncinane kwixesha elifutshane, ukunyuka kwempahla ngokungathandabuzekiyo kuya kuba yingxaki enkulu kubathengisi.

Kwingxelo, i-UBS ithe iingcali zithi amaxabiso eekhonteyina aqhubeka nokunyuka ngenxa yokunqongophala kokunikezelwa. Ngokukodwa, ingcali ibonise ukuba ukusukela ngo-Agasti 2020, ixabiso ngeyunithi nganye yeekhonteyina eziya kunxweme olusentshona limalunga ne-$8000 ukuya kwi-$9000, ngelixa imithwalo eya kunxweme olusempuma imalunga ne-$12000. Ukongeza, enye ingcali ibonise ukuba kwezinye iimeko, amaxabiso asezantsi afikelele kwi-$20000 ukuya kwi-$25000.

I-UBS ithe olo lutshintsho olukhulu ukusuka ngoJuni ka-2019, kwiminyaka emibini eyadlulayo, xa ixabiso lezikhongozeli kunxweme olusentshona lalimalunga ne-$1000, ngelixa ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lezikhongozeli kunxweme olusempuma laliyi-$2200.

Ezinye iimarike nazo zibone ukukhula okukhulu. Ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwiikhonteyina eziqhelekileyo ezingama-40 foot ukusuka eShanghai ukuya eRotterdam, eNetherlands, kunyuke ngama-534% unyaka nonyaka ukuya kwi-$11196, ngokutsho kwe-Drury's world container index ekhutshwe ngoLwesine. Eli lizinga eliphezulu phakathi kweendlela ezisibhozo zorhwebo eziphambili zaseMpuma Ntshona ezifundwe yiDrury (i-freight forwarder zencargo ibike ngoJuni 9 ukuba kubiza i-$10522 ukuthutha ikhonteyina efanayo kwindlela efanayo). I-Drury composite index, elinganisa zonke izinto ezisibhozo zempahla, inyuke ngama-306% unyaka nonyaka ukuya kwi-$6957.

Iinqanawa zokuthutha impahla zaseFransi naseJapan zihlawulisa irhafu eyongezelelweyo kwiimpahla eziya eTshayina

Okubi nangakumbi kukuba, abathwali beekhonteyina eJapan (i-Ocean network express, okanye enye) kunye neFrance (i-CMA CGM) bonyuse iindleko zokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwizibuko laseYantian eTshayina ngenxa yokuxinana kunye nokunqongophala kweekhonteyina. Ukuze kuhlawulwe iindleko zeempahla ezithunyelwa eYantian, i-CMA CGM ihlawulisa intlawulo eyongezelelweyo ye-$1250 kwikhonteyina nganye, ngelixa enye inyusa iindleko nge-$1000.

I-CMA CGM iqalise umrhumo owongezelelweyo ngoJuni 11, kodwa amanye amazwe awayi kuhlawuliswa kude kube nguJulayi 21, kuquka i-United States kunye nemimandla yayo yaphesheya, iBrazil, iArgentina, iColombia, i-Ecuador, iPanama, iVenezuela, i-Uruguay kunye neParaguay.

Kwimeko yokuxinana kunye nokulibaziseka eYurophu, eMelika naseAsia, i-one kunye neMaersk baye bayishiya indawo yokuma echwebeni laseYantian ukuze baqhubeke neshedyuli. IMaersk ibike ukuba indawo esempuma yesiphelo saseYantian, esiphatha iinqanawa ezinkulu, inezinga lokusebenza le-45% yemveliso eqhelekileyo.

Nangona kunjalo, nangona iYantian Port isaqhubeka nokuthintelwa yi-covid-19, i-everstream analytics ibike ukuba imisebenzi iqheleke ngakumbi, kunye noxinano lweeyadi kunye nexesha lokulinda iinqanawa "linciphile kakhulu" kwiintsuku zamva nje ukusukela ngoLwesibini. Abaqhubi beechweba kulindeleke ukuba baqalise ukusebenza rhoqo ukusuka ekupheleni kukaJuni.

Mhlawumbi eyona nto ibangela ukuba iindleko eziphezulu zibuyele esiqhelweni kukuba kuza kuthatha ixesha elingakanani ukubuyela esiqhelweni. Iingcali ezicatshulwe yi-UBS nazo zikholelwa ukuba akuyi kubakho tshintsho lukhulu kwizinga lenzala kwiinyanga ezili-12-18 ukususela ngoku. Nokuba utshintsho lokubonelela kunye nemfuno luhlala luzinzile, kunokubakho "indlela entsha eqhelekileyo" kumaxabiso eekhonteyina.

"Ngaphezu koko, kwiimeko ezininzi, izivumelwano azizalisekiswanga. Oku kuye kwakhokelela ekubeni abanye abathumeli bathenge iimveliso emakhaya," utshilo inqaku.

Uloliwe oyintloko ushushu ngenxa yokuxinana kwabantu

Ngokweengxoxo ze-UBS, imiqathango kulo lonke uthotho inempembelelo embi kwezinye zezona nkqubo zikaloliwe zinkulu zelizwe, ingakumbi oololiwe be-BNSF kunye ne-United Pacific.

"Zombini i-BNSF kunye ne-unp zibonakala ngathi zijongene nengxaki yokuhamba kancinci kweekhonteyina ukusuka kwizikhululo zaseChicago (kunye neMemphis yeBNSF), kwaye ukwanda / ukunqongophala kwendawo kubangele ukuba zombini iiloliwe zaseNtshona zilinganise ukuhamba koololiwe abaphakathi kunye neekhonteyina ukusuka eMzantsi California ukuya eMidwest," utshilo u-UBS kwingxelo. "Nangona umthamo wothutho unokuba yinto ethintelayo, imida yendawo yokugcina impahla eChicago naseMemphis nayo ibonakala iyingxaki."

Nangona kunjalo, ukunyuka kwamazinga okuthutha impahla elwandle kusenokwenzeka ukuba kubangele ukukhula kwengeniso enxulumene nokuthutha impahla elwandle yabathengisi bempahla kwikota yesibini.

“Izimvo zeengcali kwifowuni yethu zisenze sikholelwe ukuba imakethi yokuthutha iikhonteyina zaselwandle exineneyo kunye nokuphazamiseka kwezibuko kunokuxhasa ubungakanani obukhulu beekhonteyina zaselwandle zabathuthi bempahla, ingeniso iyonke kunye nokusebenza kwengeniso epheleleyo kwikota yesibini, kwaye le nkxaso isenokuqhubeka kude kube ngu-2022,” litshilo eli nqaku.

I-United States isajongene nemiqathango engeyomfuneko yomhlaba kunye neenqanawa

I-Everstream analytics ibonise kwisishwankathelo sayo seveki ngempembelelo yobhubhane we-covid-19 kwikhonkco lokubonelela ngeenkonzo ngoJuni 22 ukuba i-United States iya kwandisa imiqathango yokuhamba engeyomfuneko kwiindawo zomhlaba nakwiinqanawa zokuwela iCanada neMexico ukuya kutsho ngoJulayi 21 ukunciphisa ukusasazeka kobhubhane. ICoronavirus. Izithuba zemida zivaliwe ukusukela ngoMatshi 2020, kwaye imiqathango yongezwe inyanga nenyanga ukusukela ngoko.

Nangona amazinga aphezulu okugonywa kunye nokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo eMelika, ukuxinana kusekho kwimarike yehlabathi. Iinqwelomoya eziya nezibuya kwiSikhululo Seenqwelo-moya Samazwe Ngamazwe saseBao'an eShenzhen, eTshayina, zirhoxisiwe emva kokuba abasemagunyeni bebeke imiqathango ekufumanekeni kweentlobo ezahlukeneyo ze-coronavirus ye-delta. U-Everstream uthe isikhululo seenqwelo-moya sinokuxinana ngenxa yoko.

I-Indonesia, enabemi besine ngobukhulu emhlabeni, iqinise imiqathango yokuhambahamba "kwindawo ebomvu" kuquka neJakarta kwiiveki ezimbini ukusukela nge-22 kaJuni ngenxa yokwanda kwamatyala e-covid-19. Abasemagunyeni baseMzantsi Afrika baqinise amanyathelo kulo lonke ilizwe ukusukela nge-15 kaJuni, kwaye baphakamisa inqanaba lesi-5 lomngcipheko wokudluliselwa kwentsholongwane yelizwe ukusuka "kwinqanaba lesi-2" ukuya "kwinqanaba lesi-3".

Kwelinye icala, iJapan isuse imiqathango yokuhamba ngequbuliso ye-covid-19 ngoJuni wama-20 kwiindawo ezilithoba kwezili-10, kuquka neTokyo. I-Okinawa isengummandla wodwa obeka imiqathango, eya kuhlala kude kube nguJulayi 11.